Archive for February, 2009
This Week in Review (2/21-2/27)
Posted by: Todd Metheny in This Week in Review on February 28th, 2009
Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK-B) shareholder letter, authored by Warren Buffett will be available today at Berkshire’s website for your perusal. Buffett’s letters are a famous source of investment guidance, managerial wisdom and folksy humor. He’ll reportedly discuss some of the company’s derivative investments. Buffett had previously referred to derivatives as “financial weapons of mass destruction” and has caught some criticism for having a sizable investment in them. The letters are always a great read. I’ll probably discuss the letter in Monday’s post after I have a chance to read and think about it. Anyway, read it if you get a chance. You can access all of his letters here, or you can get them pre-compiled in book form here. Without further ado, here are some of the articles that caught my eye over the past week.
Warren Buffett vs. Modern Portfolio Theory @ Moolanomy – Speaking of Buffett, check out this article about the merits of modern portfolio theory. Personally, I think both stock picking and index funds have a place in the world. Swedroe theorizes that Buffett the manager deserves part of the credit for Buffett’s success, as he buys such large shares of the companies that he can sit on the boards. While this likely would change the way you invest, what Buffett is actually doing on that board is representing not only his interests, but the interests of the common shareholder. You won’t find a board that Buffett’s on following anti-shareholder policies. He brings an investor slant to a group of managers.
Should I pay off my mortgage? @ Frugal Dad – Frugal Dad addresses an age old question. If you have excess cash, should you pay down your mortgage or go for the higher returns? Check it out.
Is Solar Power Right for You @ Mother Earth News – I made my way to this site after reading this article earlier this week. There’s a lot of great content here. It’s a magazine website, but check out all the cool stuff. If you like stuff like this, the Get Rich Slowly article is a great resource for things like it.
Diamonds becoming a girl’s best friend @ Weakonomics – This article discusses the intrinsic value of diamonds. I did a somewhat similar post on gold awhile back. This is a pretty well documented almost monopoly that really controls the supply side of diamonds in the market place. Pretty interesting.
Cheap Meals and Easy Dinner Ideas @ The Digerati Life – The title is self-explanatory, but as times get tough, it’ll be worth more and more to be able to eat healthy on the cheap. Check out this post.
Hopefully you find something that interests you in those links. Unless the plans somehow fall through I’m going rock climbing tomorrow. Enjoy the rest of your weekend. Thanks for reading.
New Ideas from Dead Economists – Pt. 6 (Alfred Marshall)
Posted by: Todd Metheny in Economics, Reviews on February 27th, 2009
This is part 6 of my review of New Ideas from Dead Economists by Todd Buchholz. Here are parts 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 if you’d like to look back. Any of the entries can stand alone, of course.
Alfred Marshall became interested in economics for the same reason many of us do. He got tired of arguing with his friends and receiving this response: if you understood political economy, you wouldn’t think that way. So he set out to understand it, reading books like Mill’s Political Economy (see part 4). When I set out to review this part of the book, I was impressed with how many of the mainstream economic ideas were a direct contribution from Marshall. Most of his contributions were to microeconomics, and microeconomic textbooks are still basically based on the theories he sets forth in his book, Principles of Economics. Because he contributed so much, I picked just a few highlights to briefly touch on in this post.
Marginalism
Marshall didn’t come up with the concept of marginalism, but he’s probably the economist most commonly associated with it. He’s credited with developing it, and making it what we know it as today. Marginalism asks the question: will the benefits of doing a particular thing outweigh the cost? Marginalism declares that the past is behind you, that is, whatever value you derived from previous transactions is meaningless, only the choices in front of you matter. Thus, if you previously derived $100 worth of value from a $1 purchase, and now you can only derive $2 worth of value, you should still make the purchase (because you can’t look back). Marshall’s theory of marginal utility suggests that for every portion you consume, the value diminishes. Buchholz uses the example of “Yuppie Yogurt.” While the first portion of yogurt might be worth $1 per unit, each unit is worth less to the consumer, until finally you couldn’t pay the consumer to take another bite of yogurt. If the value to the consumer declined by 10 cents with each purchase, and the price of the yogurt was 50 cents, then the average consumer would buy no more than 5 units of yogurt. If you’ve heard of a cost/benefit analysis, this is the guy you can credit this with.
Law of Demand
Marshall was credited with enunciating the law of demand.
“….the greater the amount to be sold, the smaller must be the price…the amount demanded increases with a fall in price, and diminishes with a rise in price.”
Marshall understood that price alone didn’t drive demand, he listed several other factors as well. I think demand can now be created by marketing alone. It’s common knowledge how important supply and demand have been to economics. I won’t belabor the point here. You get it. Marshall made a large contribution to economics as we know it.
Size of a Company
Marshall also made contributions to how economists thought about the size of companies. The prevalent theory of the times was that as companies grew, their costs went up, and they therefore became less profitable. Marshall suggested that in some industries, as companies grow, they can become more efficient, and thus more profitable. He theorized that as a company grows, its cost of borrowing money decreases, and the company has better access to more efficient machinery. Under Marshall’s theory, companies can increase returns as they grow.
Of course, if companies become more efficient as they get bigger, this would suggest that bigger is better. At the most extreme point of this theory, monopolies would be a positive market force. How could this be? Marshall doesn’t reject the ideas of the famous economists before him that touted the importance of competition. Marshall explains how this can be reconciled by explaining that companies cannot last forever. Entrepreneurs grow their companies with their talent and drive, but they can’t last, because the founders don’t live, forever. Eventually they die and leave the company in (theoretically) less capable hands. The new management has become fat and lazy. The lean and hungry startups will take risks and some of them will eventually triumph over the fat and lazy.
Elasticity
The concept of elasticity was also from the mind of Alfred Marshall. Elasticity is a principle that measures the responsiveness of the demand of a particular product to its change in price. If you raise the price of, say, a television, demand for new televisions might fall. If this were the case, it would be appropriate to say that televisions are an elastic item. If demand remains relatively constant for a product regardless of price, we would call that product inelastic. One factor that affects elasticity is the availability of substitutes. If it cost a thousand dollars for a Sony, but you can get a Sharp for only five hundred dollars, a suitable substitute exists for the television. If the price of ice berg lettuce rises, people might become more likely to buy romaine or another suitable substitute.
These were some of the ways that Marshall contributed to microeconomics – by enunciating the concept of supply and demand, developing marginalism, elasticity and the size of a company. Whip them out next time you’re arguing with your friends about the state of the world (in proper economic terms). He did all this and a great deal more, and his ideas are still important today. Buchholz’s account of this is infinitely cleverer and more interesting than mine. Check it out. In any case, thanks for reading.
The US Food System
Posted by: RJ in Green Living on February 26th, 2009
This is a guest post from my brother-in-law, RJ. RJ is currently finishing up a PhD in mechanical engineering. He’sknowledgeable and passionate about all things energy. He also enjoys long walks on the beach. Hopefully, RJ will serve as the blog’s resident energy expert. I’ll direct any energy questions you may have to him. Look for more posts from him periodically.
The US uses significantly more food than it consumes. The USDA estimates that 3700 calories of food are supplied per person. Of these 3700 calories, approximately 2700 calories are consumed while the remaining 1000 calories (or 27%) are discarded (see here). This is appalling – how can so much food be wasted every day? Individual waste, such as tossing old bananas, pizza crusts and sour milk plays a major role. Additionally grocery stores discard blemished/damaged products and restaurants throw away anything that’s not sold the day it was prepared. Unfortunately this is only part of the story and the US food system is actually much worse.
The food industry is unique in that the available market size (calorie demand) scales almost linearly with population growth. I say almost linearly because US calorie consumption has been slowly rising, going from 2161 calories/day in 1970 to 2679 calories/day in 2006. For a food producer’s growth to sizably exceed that of population growth it traditionally had to displace competition. However over the past few decades a new approach has emerged, one that I feel is particularly interesting/bothersome. This new approach is the low calorie, chemically formulated “food product”. Daily calorie consumption is limited to an average of 2700 but by introducing calorie free foods the market size can quickly expand. Diet soda and Lay’s half-calorie potato chips are excellent examples. This is the industrialized food industry literally making “food products” that are less efficient – foods that intentionally have no/reduced energy value. This allows unlimited consumption with minimal weight gain consequences (i.e. 5 diet sodas per day). Notice I called them food products because many of them are not actually food.
Thus, that we waste 1000 calories per day is only part of the story. We also consume a vast amount of low calorie food product. This laboratory developed food product consists of a multitude of chemicals, many of them corn based. Due to the long supply chain and high degree of processing involved, these foods require enormous amounts of energy to “manufacture.”
And if this isn’t enough, the US food supply is becoming increasingly processed (this includes many organic foods as well). These energy intensive processed foods are being developed to utilize a very small number of input materials (primarily corn and soy) and are leading to single crop/monoculture farms. These single crop farms rely on petroleum based fertilizers (exception organic food) which are slowly destroying fertile land.
This all sounds crazy but unfortunately it is reality. While much of the world is without adequate food supply, the US is both wasting much of its food and spending significant money/energy on foods without calorie content. And all this is being done using farming practices that are destroying our valuable fertile land.
Will this change? Will the US stop wasting so much of its food supply? Will consumers abandon “high tech” food products and return to natural foods? Unfortunately the trends are currently in the wrong direction – per capita food use is growing, food products are quickly gaining market share and farmers are switching to single crop farms. What are your thoughts?
We as consumers must call for a change and ignore the plethora of sexy “get thin quick” food products. Furthermore US agriculture policy needs to change to promote ecologically friendly farming rather than petroleum supported mega corn and soy farms – this is quite difficult because of towering strength of the corn lobby.
Self-Reliance vs. Social Responsibility
Posted by: Todd Metheny in Uncategorized on February 25th, 2009
Every day, on my way to work, I pass at least 3 homeless people. They stand on street corners holding signs that say things like “Homeless – Anything Helps – God Bless.” It’s actually quite heart breaking…at first. If you live in a city, you become kind of numb to it after awhile. A philosophical question arises as to the issue of whether to give them money. A friend and I debated this question to exhaustion about five years ago – without reaching a conclusion. Here are some of the basic considerations of that argument.
Don’t give them money
Ralph Waldo Emerson once said, in his essay, Self-Reliance, that he never gives homeless people money. He goes on to say that this is because if you give people a hand up, they’ll never pull themselves up, and thus never develop the skills required to be self-reliant. You are, in essence, making them weaker by giving them money. I’ve heard the theory extended to other forms of oppression. People have to overcome the oppression themselves or be doomed to be oppressed by another oppressor in the future. You can’t free a people, they have to free themselves through revolution. Niccolo Machiavelli would say that anytime you help someone else, you’re hurting yourself. He saw life as a zero sum game. I think I would personally give a little more weight to Emerson than Machiavelli.
Of course, I don’t think people are homeless because they aren’t trying hard enough. I don’t think that’s it at all. People tend to be homeless (long term homeless, at least) in two basic circumstances, (1) severe substance abuse or (2) mental illness. Those things have to be coupled with the lack of a support system or a rejection of their support system. Most of the people I know won’t become homeless because they know someone who would take them in. They have a network of people that would help them out if things got bad enough. I don’t know how Emerson would have responded to this. Maybe he would have suggested that no one take them in. Perhaps he would have advocated tough love. Of course, taking them in might make them self sufficient sooner. Having a place to stay, to wash up, and access to nice, clean clothes could only help you land a job – and a ticket out of your dire situation. This brings us to the other side of the argument.
Give them money
On some level, people have a responsibility to help one another. If you see someone fall, the proper thing to do is go and help them up. If you see a blind person, you should offer them your arm. If you see a fist fight, you should break it up. If an elderly person gets on the train, you offer them your seat. Money really isn’t much different. Charity is a positive thing. People take pride in charitable giving. Being able to help people makes us feel good. I heard Tracy Chapman, the singer and class warrior, once make the point that some people are just one handout away from being able to make an honest living (think this guy). I like this point, too. It makes sense. I wouldn’t be what I am without the help I’ve received in life from my family and friends. Some of the successful people you know might refer to themselves as self-made, but if they thought about it much at all they could probably point out lots of people that helped them, by influence if nothing else.
My take
I haven’t given money to a homeless person in a long time. I put my head down and keep walking almost every time. Maybe Emerson’s argument has something to do with this. Maybe it’s my belief in the free market. More than anything, I think it’s economics. I don’t think it’s the most efficient way to use the money. If you’re going to give money to the homeless, an economist would say it’s smarter to save all those one dollar bills and donate them to a homeless shelter, or soup kitchen, or free medical clinic (my wife’s preference), or to a program that helps get homeless people off of the streets. This way you have a little better idea about where the dollars are going, and you can potentially help more people. For whatever reason, people are more likely to help an individual case than a broad cause. There’s a bias toward helping an individual. I think it has something to do with actually seeing the person with your own eyes, living, in front of you. You want to be able to help this person, that you can see and hear, have a meal today. You want to make an immediate impact. It’s probably why they advertise for you to adopt a specific child in Africa rather than just asking you to donate to help lots of children in Africa. If they can connect your heart to an individual, you’ll be invested in helping. Just a thought. Anyway, this was on my mind today and I thought I would do a post on it. Let me know what you think by email or in the comments – do you give money to homeless people? Why or why not? Thanks for reading.
The Bailout Tab
Posted by: Todd Metheny in Economics on February 24th, 2009
A reader emailed me last week with some thoughts and questions about the deficit and the bailout. The question was in a narrative format and I’ve decided not to try to reproduce it here. I believe the reader is under the impression that we are simply printing our way out of the recession. I don’t believe that’s the case. Someone correct me if I’m wrong. That’s not to say that more money couldn’t be printed at some point.
If deflation becomes a concern, and many economists see this as a possibility, then printing money might become a very real possibility. Deflation, as opposed to inflation, occurs when prices keep going down, or, in other words, the currency keeps getting stronger. It sounds great, right? We want prices to go down, because then things will cost less for us to buy. That’s why we chase deals. The problem is that if prices are on the way down, no one has an incentive to buy anything. Why buy it today when our dollars will be worth more tomorrow? Why buy now when you can get it cheaper later? It’s the ultimate case for hoarding your money. You can actually make money by hiding it under mattress, if deflation is prevalent enough.
Inflation, of course, is just the opposite. It occurs as the currency becomes weaker, and things become more expensive. Whether inflation or deflation occurs depends on multiple factors but is basically predicated on supply and demand. When the money supply is larger, and money is flowing through the economy quickly, prices are more likely to be bid up and inflation is therefore more likely to occur. The inverse is true as well. As people spend less money and the money supply becomes more constricted, deflation is more likely to occur.
As for what’s happening right now, I believe the government is financing the bailout by borrowing money. However, the government’s cost of borrowing is currently very low. Interest rates are very low on treasury bills right now (currently about 2.75% on the 10 year). Pretty recently, at the height of panic in the financial markets, treasury interest rates went all the way to zero. Demand for treasuries was so high that people were investing their money near zero percent, just to park it and avoid the uncertainty in the rest of the market. Even amidst the gloom and doom, investors trust the US government not to default on its debt.
Of course, all this borrowing increases the deficit. I know that the deficit is of great concern to many people, including the president. I worry about it, too. Here are two quick thoughts on the deficit. First, the government’s cost of borrowing is lower than it’s been in a long time. If you’re going to borrow a little money, now is the time to do it. It’s the same reason that people are refinancing. Get the money while it’s cheap. My other thought is that as long as you balance the budget in the future with some commitment, inflation will slowly pay down the debt. The money you’re borrowing is worth more than the money you’re paying back over time. So, if they’re cost of borrowing is 2.75% and inflation occurs at 3% per year, the US is coming out okay on those transactions. Of course, this would require a genuine commitment to keeping the budget balanced. I’m not sure that will be a constant priority. It’s not a sexy issue to run for office on. Maybe it will be in the future. So that’s that. Whether you agree with all the money being thrown around or not (I personally don’t), the real threat, to me, is not that the deficit is being increased in the short term. The real threat is to the free market, competition and the quality and low prices that those things demand. In any case, I hope this helps. Let me know your thoughts, corrections and/or additions by email or in the comments. Thanks for reading.
Risk Tolerance
Posted by: Todd Metheny in Managing Finances on February 23rd, 2009

In the late 90s, I knew a couple of people that made the decision to try their hand at day trading. The swings of the market were such that a momentum strategy was making a lot of people money. You know what happened: the overall market had a mini crash, purging thousands of dot com companies with no discernable earnings, and taking most equity investors with it. If you were invested in equities, you probably learned something about your risk tolerance when this happened. If you didn’t then, perhaps you’re learning now. I know a couple of people currently experimenting with day trading now as well. Based on the limited amount of research I’ve seen, trying to game market trends is an approach that can beat the overall market in times of market volatility. I have personally never subscribed to the strategy. The premise behind momentum trading has little to do with the underlying fundamentals of a company and lots to do with crowd psychology. That’s why to me (and lots of other people), value investing is the approach that speaks to me with the most clarity.
Regardless of your approach, an underdiscussed topic tends to be risk tolerance. Knowing and understanding your own risk tolerance is a complex thing. The people that I knew that rushed into day trading during a period of volatile (but upward) movement, learned something about their risk tolerance when they started losing their money. It’s easy to believe that you have an unmatched appetite for risk when you’re making money. Of course, making money says nothing about your true appetite for risk. Only losing money does that.
Recent market conditions have forced many people to re-evaluate their tolerance for risk. People have rushed out of equities, forcing redemptions in hedge and mutual funds (which helped pull the market down even further). But what does risk tolerance really mean? I’ve heard people say more than once that you shouldn’t be in equities unless you can stomach seeing your portfolio down by 50% (many investors are there already). Most planners say that you shouldn’t have money in the market that you’ll need in the next five years (sound advice). But again, what does it mean? One thing it absolutely doesn’t mean is that you’re tolerant of losing money. Every investor should be loss averse. Loss is a negative outcome. If you’re saving and investing money only to lose it, you might as well put it under your mattress and let it slowly erode under the grip of inflation or, just spend it already. Risk aversion, to me, is simply a measure of how a particular person reacts to the volatility of an investment.
Defining it is the easy part. Understanding where you fit into the spectrum is another thing altogether. There isn’t a magic way of finding out. Sure, you can take one of the many risk tolerance tests online, such as this one. Of course, it’s still you answering the questions about what you’ll do. And these tests aren’t new. They’ve been around for years. The existence of tests didn’t stop people from liquidating investment accounts right and left.
I guess my advice to you is this, find an investment policy that you feel meets your risk tolerance and stick to it. If you can stand seeing your money seesaw up and down, I would advise you to put a larger amount of money into fixed income investments. That being said, I think almost all investors can benefit from some stock exposure. I think most people either over or under expose themselves to equities. They either love them or hate them. As long as that’s in line with your actual risk tolerance, I think that’s fine.
In the new (post recession) world, many people will scavenge for opportunities amidst the uncertainty and perhaps make money. Many others, having been burned, will stand on the sidelines, wary of equities for as long as their memories serve them correctly. I think the action you take during these times, assuming you can afford to do anything, tells you a lot about your tolerance for risk. Keep the current market conditions, complete with all the volatility and uncertainty, in your mind the next time you evaluate your investment plan – and then stick with it. That should be a fairly honest way to evaluate yourself. Thanks for reading.
For more on risk tolerance, check out this post.
This Week In Review (2/14-2/20)
Posted by: Todd Metheny in This Week in Review on February 21st, 2009
My wife started reading Freakonomics this week. She’s as excited about it as I was when I read it four years ago. It’s fun to see someone enjoy something you care about. I’m reading a slew of things, but more than anything else I’m trying to keep my head above water at work. Here are some things I’ve been reading online that caught my eye over the past week.
PSE & G’s Solar Energy Loan Program @ Got2BeGreen – First I’d like to say that this is a very cool site. This New Jersey program allows you to borrow money to cover your home in solar panels and then pay it back by putting energy back on the grid. That sounds great. Hopefully this policy works and spreads to other states. I will have a couple of energy posts coming up over the next couple weeks on this site, one from a new contributor who will act as our resident energy expert. More on that in a later post.
How to Claim the First Time Homebuyer’s Tax Credit @ Five Cent Nickel – I have a good friend that closed on a house last April 1st. Unfortunately for him, you can’t claim this credit unless you closed April 8th or later. Seems arbitrary, doesn’t it? If you did buy April 8th or later, check this post out and make sure you get the credit.
Remains of the Day @ Lifehacker – Check out this video on the credit crisis. It does a good job giving a simple account of how this whole mess shook down. It’s pretty funny to boot. In my opinion, it’s worth your time.
How I Cut My Television Bill in Half @ Get Rich Slowly – Here are some great ideas for those of you without cable or are thinking about getting rid of cable. High praise for Hulu. Check it out.
Music v. The Music Industry @ Seth Godin’s Blog – This is a great blog if you want to learn about marketing and consider marketing ideas. The music industry really has changed. In Almost Famous, Lester Bangs‘ (Philip Seymour Hoffman) called rock and roll a “culture of cool.” Cool might be all they have left. It will be interesting to see where it goes from here. Anyway, this is a good post on an excellent blog.
Coupon Roundup @ Bargain Babe – A good site for the bargain hunter. If you like to eat out from time to time you should always double check Restaurant.com. They always have a pretty good deal that allows you to get a $25 gift certificate for $10. Bargain Babe found a deal where you can get one for just $2. Plus, it’s a great name for a site.
Anyway, I hope you found something that interest you in my Saturday linkage. Have a great weekend and thanks for reading.
New Ideas from Dead Economists – Pt. 5 (Karl Marx)
Posted by: Todd Metheny in Uncategorized on February 20th, 2009
This is part 5 of my review of New Ideas from Dead Economists by Todd Buchholz. Here are parts 1, 2, 3, and 4 if you’d like to look back. Any of the entries can stand alone, of course.
I had a college professor in undergrad that taught a class on Southern American literature. Very smart guy. Ivy league graduate school and all that. He was a Faulkner scholar. He had a tremendous amount of knowledge about literature. He cared a lot about people. Injustice really bothered him. Overall, I’d say he was a cool guy. One day in class he started telling us about how Coca Cola was exploiting Indonesian (I think it was Indonesian) workers for pennies an hour (this made him furious). He finally went so far as to say that Coca Cola was an evil company and that Coca Cola should give the Indonesian workers the factory. I was puzzled, so I raised my hand and asked whether it was the wages that he found to be unfair. Wages were part of the problem. I stated that if the Indonesian workers could make more money elsewhere, they would, and that the Coca Cola job was actually helping them, their families and their economy. He disagreed for a number of reasons, and proceeded to assault my logic on moral grounds. I concluded that he didn’t know much about economics. In any case, he didn’t subscribe to the same brand of economic theory that I did. It’s possible that he had, at some point, studied our next economist, Karl Marx.
Buchholz spends a pretty decent amount of time talking about Marx’s life. It’s obvious why he did, too. Marx is fascinating. The amount of money he spent (he was not a frugal person), the life he led, the things he did. He was an academic above all things. He poured through money and raged against the burgeoise. He wrote books while living in vast poverty. He was rarely able to hold any job for much time at all. Both he and his wife were from wealthy families – and they lived off help most of the time. He spent his time writing and studying. He was a man of ideas and ideals. Some of his best known works include Contribution to the Critique of Political Economy, The Communist Manifesto, and, of course, Capital.
Like all the economists we’ve examined, Marx had so many ideas that it’s hard to give you even a brief overview of his major ones. I’m going to take a shot at it anyway. Many people think of Marx as an enemy of capitalism. This may be true to an extent. I think he did view capitalism as possessing sort of an evil quality. That being said, he actually believed that capitalism was a necessary precondition to socialism. He believed that the extra production capitalism produced would help lead to socialism, and that socialism was inevitable, but I’m getting ahead of myself here.
Marx’s basic theory was that capitalism requires the exploitation of the worker. He believed that the value of a product is determined by the amount of labor used to produce it. Machines are just labor stored up in metallic form. An item that takes 10 hours of labor to produce is twice as valuable as one that takes 5. Assuming this is true, no profits can be made unless labor is exploited. Instead of paying the workers for the exact amount of value they add to the process, the business owner only pays them a small amount and takes the surplus value for himself. The worker, according to Marx, is unable to demand the full value he/she is owed because the business owners own the means of production (materials, place to work, etc.) and because the worker is easily replaceable by someone in the unemployment pool that capitalism inevitably creates. Marx explains why this exploitation can’t go on, citing the inability to exploit machines, increasing economic power of a few, depressions, and possible revolution of the poor.
Obviously, Marx has been widely criticized, though his ideas still command a cult following. Any modern thinker can see problems with his labor theory of value. For one, it ignores incentives for innovation and entrepreneurship and the value they can add. They ignore the value of human capital in running a business – knowledge and management skill in running a business. Buchholz uses the example of the man who invented Velcro after getting several burrs caught on a wool sock. Surely he added value above the amount of labor used to create the Velcro, didn’t he? Capitalism also keeps prices low for consumers and demands quality. Alfred Marshall, who we’ll look at next time, also points out that Marx focuses solely on the supply of goods. Marshall points out that value comes from demand, and sometimes risks must be taken to unlock that demand. Such risks have value as well.
I do agree with some of Marx’s ideas. Without some form of social welfare, I do think the poor would eventually revolt. People will go to great extremes to survive. That I truly believe. I also believe that Marx’s writings have some value. I don’t believe he represents the utopia that he’s commonly associated with, because I just don’t believe that his writings reflect that that’s what he felt Marxism would lead to. As economist Frank Hahn once said,
“Most Marxists have never even read Marx. Of course, you really can’t blame them.”
What I do believe has value, is that Marx represents the other side of the coin. His reasoning flies in the face of current economic theory. He looked at the world and had an idea of how it could be different. Of course, I don’t think any attempts at realizing Marx’s ideal have been very successful. His ideas are still challenging. They still make you think. I don’t agree with most of them, but some of his ideas actually make a lot of sense, if you read them for what they are. I am a hearty advocate of the free market on this site and in my personal life, but I still recognize that there are other view points out there. He had a sense of humor, too – Marx once famously declared that he was no longer a Marxist. I hope, wherever he is, that my Southern American literature professor isn’t either. Thanks for reading.
Whatever Happened to the Free Market?
Posted by: Todd Metheny in Economics on February 19th, 2009
It’s been a crazy couple of weeks. The government is going for it. Obama is going for it. This is his chance to be a hero, or a goat. Depending on what else comes his way during his presidency, how he handles this financial crisis, and how the country rebounds, will largely define his legacy. In recent weeks, salary caps have been imposed for wall street executives, select homeowners are being bailed out and US automotive manufacturers have submitted their viability plans. I thought I would chime in and say a few words on each topic.
In my opinion, executive pay caps are a bad idea. I understand the rationale. If you’re taking bailout money, the government has the right to attach some strings to it. That being said, this is private industry. A business has a right to decide what to pay its people. The government should stay out of this. Plus, you’re limiting the talent you can bring in to help fix the problem. Perhaps the market values someone with the ability to guide a company through this type of crisis at more than $500k. When it comes to banking, this is surely the case. The top talent will stay home rather than work for an amount less than they could be making somewhere else. Plus, there’s a system in place that already sets prices – the market. Competition should set prices for labor. If company A will receive a higher value from employee X’s services than company B, company A will be willing to pay more. If X ends up working for company B because pay caps restrict what company A can pay, X will be underemployed and the market will be inefficient. I say let the market work.
As for the auto viability plans, GM and Chrysler are asking for money again. Their argument is that they’re only asking for a few billion here and there, which is very little compared to what a bankruptcy filing would cost. Maybe that’s true, but it sounds like a sneaky way to go about asking for money. When does it end? According to this article, the automakers will have their hands out for awhile. I think long term we are making American industry weaker by propping it up. Let the companies pursue private solutions. If there is enough demand for cars in the US – let other companies take advantage of the infrastructure GM, Chrysler and Ford would potentially vacate. Let the market dictate who survives. Instead of forcing these companies to adjust to the marketplace, we’re attempting to adjust the market place to them. Will letting these companies fail hurt? Of course. In the short term, it will be devastating. It will be unpopular, expensive, and demoralizing. In the long term, however, the companies that emerge from the crisis will be built on strategically competitive principles that will make America strong again.
I don’t know what the future holds. I don’t know how to fix America. If I did, I would publish it here, and anywhere else someone would let me. Many, many people know more about economics than I do. That being said, as I look around me at what’s happening in America, I can’t help but wonder, whatever happened to the free market? When did we come up with a theory that works better? If we did, could someone explain it to me and give me an example of somewhere it’s been successful? I don’t mean to be snarky. That’s not my intention. I just want to understand what’s going on. Thanks for reading.
Compound Interest
Posted by: Todd Metheny in Managing Finances, Retirement on February 18th, 2009
Anyone who has ever read a personal finance book (or blog!) is probably familiar with the concept of compound interest. It’s one of those basic fundamental principles that most people understand because they’ve heard or read about it. One of the challenges I face as a personal finance blogger is knowing how many of the basics I need to cover. I think it’s important to understand things like compounded interest and other basics. Those things, however, aren’t necessarily of the most interest to me. The good news is that there are only so many of them. I decided that I couldn’t have a personal finance blog without delving into compound interest at some point. Plus, in the future, I can reference this post instead of linking to someone else.
Albert Einstein is alleged to have said (though it’s been disputed by some):
The most powerful force in the universe is compound interest.
I can’t contribute to the argument regarding whether he said it or not, but if compound interest could impress a brilliant man like Einstein, we should probably pay attention to it as well. Compound interest is, quite simply, the idea that money will grow faster and faster as it is reinvested. In other words, if you invest $10 at a 10% annual interest rate, in one year you’ll have an extra dollar. The next year, however, you’ll be making 10% on $11 ($1.10) instead of $10. This assumes that interest is compounded once a year, for the purpose of simplicity. If interest were calculated more often, of course, your money would grow even faster.
Check out a compound annual growth rate calculator by clicking here: Financial Calculator. For instance, if you have 30 years until retirement, and can afford to invest just $2k/year ($167/month, or $41.75/week), at the end of 30 years you’ll have a tidy sum of almost $265k (assuming an 8% return). Up that contribution to $5k per year and you’ll have $662,042.62. Play with the calculator. It’s fun. My suggestion would be to set your contribution at a fixed amount of your income (say 10-20% – but the higher the better). That way, as your income rises, so does your contribution. Another way to do it would be to try to keep living off of the same amount of money as your income rises and divert the rest to savings. Just because you get a raise doesn’t mean your house has to get bigger – a lesson that many people wish they had learned before the housing crisis.
Compound interest is your best chance to fight inflation and retire comfortably. Keep that in mind in this market. You can’t change the fact that you just lost 30% + out of your retirement account, but you can control whether you keep investing in a down market. You can dollar cost average your way back into the game if you stay the course. That doesn’t mean you can just pick any investments, but if you can keep your costs low and use the tax advantages of the retirement vehicles at your disposal, you can still get there. Of course, depending on your age, you may have to work a little longer and save a little more, but what’s your alternative? Don’t wait for a personal bailout – your lobby isn’t strong enough. Any personal finance writer will tell you that personal finance can essentially be broken down into one rule: spend less than you earn. Do your best. You can find an article about compounded interest at whatever your favorite personal finance blog is, but if you want to read more and would like a suggestion, check out this one. Thanks for reading.


